Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 378.933049 431.147874 489.527594 559.931395 642.920699 738.104920 856.212619
2025-08-10 294.590884 360.469415 440.972279 547.717548 687.246966 865.825289 1115.592783
2025-08-17 259.102858 333.026310 429.034694 565.144482 756.912176 1023.343457 1432.276770
2025-08-24 228.530570 304.959430 408.993031 564.444622 797.070612 1142.866911 1717.114603
2025-08-31 202.976663 279.242176 387.123849 555.542373 820.784583 1238.802616 1983.216747
2025-09-07 185.862303 262.800151 375.489427 558.633203 861.147270 1365.134939 2325.716949
2025-09-14 168.138410 243.189398 356.348207 546.596803 873.915196 1446.195377 2604.727787
2025-09-21 155.266243 229.393848 344.256753 543.712992 900.640178 1554.923293 2961.771043
2025-09-28 139.900876 210.162426 321.402900 519.596699 885.661999 1583.080481 3159.630643
2025-10-05 134.797266 206.698072 323.612089 538.724394 952.273754 1780.153616 3778.270105
2025-10-12 131.119551 205.120486 328.634099 563.239856 1032.735101 2021.206539 4575.145808
2025-10-19 124.310724 197.648168 322.687609 566.493762 1070.973824 2179.297338 5216.189753
2025-10-26 114.978199 185.269029 307.243191 550.324262 1067.653134 2246.218652 5644.545094
2025-11-02 107.197292 175.011784 294.748242 538.598147 1072.385586 2333.980626 6167.891909
2025-11-09 104.059577 172.685016 296.509162 555.664817 1143.655818 2600.821526 7345.778682
2025-11-16 98.930321 166.339150 290.113283 554.979476 1173.879072 2769.387658 8279.049442
2025-11-23 93.305771 158.659961 280.485143 546.256704 1183.496908 2884.781004 9079.509397
2025-11-30 89.500621 154.082973 276.485353 549.285281 1222.511830 3092.424949 10329.916359
2025-12-07 84.410746 146.721694 266.356232 537.490910 1222.023544 3184.403056 11166.493497
2025-12-14 80.647176 141.651843 260.443556 534.664928 1244.656825 3353.232086 12428.245758
2025-12-21 75.122686 132.826647 246.205536 511.029752 1207.908666 3325.622307 12785.955767
2025-12-28 74.006355 132.573239 249.708420 529.776215 1291.097305 3714.679738 15405.334516
2026-01-04 73.365107 133.208001 255.116656 553.799020 1394.027992 4205.303492 18960.064281